NCBR project
Development of a high-resolution population mobility simulation system based on geolocated data and large, distributed data sets for modelling and predicting the development of infectious disease pandemics, in particular SARS-CoV-2.
Project partners
About the project
The project involves the development of a high-resolution population mobility simulation system based on geolocated data and large, distributed data sets, intended for modelling and predicting the development of infectious disease pandemics, in particular SARS-CoV-2.
The R&D activities are aimed at developing an agent-based simulation system built upon a population flow model, forecasting changes in the density of human clusters over time within a designated urban area. The system will be integrated with a model of infectious disease transmission between individuals, as well as with a module enabling the definition of custom population behavioural scenarios and simulations reflecting implemented rules and restrictions (e.g. mobility limitation scenarios, closure of selected public facilities, levels of public compliance with imposed restrictions).
Project objective
The objective of the project is to develop a system enabling the modelling of infection probability and the prediction of disease spread, with the capability to simulate hypothetical scenarios and visualise the consequences of the implemented simulation parameters.
The system will be based on a proprietary population flow model, extended to include infectious disease transmission modelling. It will be characterised, inter alia, by high resolution and flexibility, the application of novel mobility mechanisms, and POI points.
Project outcomes
The outcome of the project will be an interactive visualisation platform enabling the presentation of population flows and the characteristics of disease spread under defined parameters.
The developed solution will be dedicated globally to public sector entities. The significantly enhanced product (in comparison with existing solutions), namely the system (software), will be based on a proprietary model simulating population flows within a designated area, extended with epidemiological interaction mechanisms.
Funding
The total value of the project amounts to PLN 1,848,702.21.
The funding granted to the Company amounts to PLN 1,209,519.49.
The project is co-financed by the European Union from the resources of the European Regional Development Fund under the Smart Growth Operational Programme 2014–2020.
The project is implemented under a competition organised by the National Centre for Research and Development: Measure 1.1 – R&D Projects of Enterprises.